March 2nd, 2010

Building and Remodeling In A “Healthy” Housing Market

Doug Oles of Evergreen Custom Homes and Marty Creech of Creech Construction are owners of successful family-owned businesses in Greenville, South Carolina. Oles builds custom homes in the nationally acclaimed Cliffs Communities, which are spread throughout the Upstate of South Carolina and into western North Carolina. Creech focuses on major remodeling projects including kitchen, bath and whole-home remodels.

Evergreen Homes

Greenville’s housing market has remained relatively steady in the boom and bust that have been trademarks of the past ten years in real estate. The market was recently ranked #19 in Builder Magazine’s listing of the healthiest housing markets in the U.S. With modest 3-5% appreciation throughout the early part of the decade, home prices stayed relatively affordable and thus didn’t see a major decline the past couple years as witnessed in markets with double digit annual run-ups like Florida and California.

While prices have remained fairly stable in the market, both Creech and Oles have shared some of the same pains other builders and remodelers have faced throughout the country. Below is a summary of our recent discussion.

Build Intel: How has the recession impacted your business?

Doug Oles: Our production has slowed due to lack of demand and an increase of competition. We’ve had to trim our staff and try to make it through these tough times. We are fortunate enough to have projects through these times. We also had a little foresight and were able to prepare for this downturn. Unfortunately we really do not know how long this downturn will last, and I am sure that many companies in our industry will not make it.

Marty Creech: Dramatically, it has changed people’s priorities from large-scale projects to minor projects. I’ve gone from an average job of $250,000 to $100,000 the past two years. We’ve also had some challenges working with banks that may not be local and understand this housing market has remained stable. I recently had a homeowner wait nine weeks for financing. That’s never been an issue in the past. We’ve had more competition popping up too, from new homebuilders who have entered the remodeling market. I’ve gone from four to five competitors in my market space to 10 to 20.

BI: Have there been any silver linings for you and your business during the downturn?

DO: We have been able to “take stock” in our company and our process. We have had the time to streamline and increase efficiency in regards to process and sub-contract management. Also, with the downturn, pricing on materials and labor has come down giving our clients more value for less cost, making it an excellent time to build.

MC: Yes, we have remained somewhat busy, but I’ve also been able to spend more time with my family during the downturn.

BI: The stock market / analysts have followed the home building industry religiously since the recession began. How much do you follow the housing start numbers and the performance of the big builders?

DO: I do follow these numbers and reports fairly regularly. Because we are in a specific market at a specific price range, I do not put a lot of emphasis in these numbers. It’s good to speak to clients about these things, especially when the numbers are positive, but our clients typically know that they are going to build before they start speaking with us. We do follow some analysts and economic forecasts that pertain to us regionally. Also, I feel the local home sales numbers are a good indicator for new construction in my market.

MC: I really don’t follow these reports. It has little bearing on my market.

Lumber prices BI: Lumber prices are on the rise due to tight supply, have you seen an impact yet with your business?

DO: We have not seen a big impact as of yet, but we are preparing for this in our bids. Obviously an increase in lumber pricing is not going to help the building industry unless you can tell a client that they should build today, because tomorrow their house will cost more. In recent history this has just caused a decrease in builder profit.

MC: Due to the size of my company, I haven’t seen a major repercussion yet. It may have jumped 5%, but on my projects, a 5% jump on the cost of lumber isn’t a huge issue. During the gas crisis about five years ago, we adjusted prices then because everyone else was adding fuel and delivery surcharges, but so far this has had little impact.

BI: What is the general mindset of your buyer right now?

DO: Today’s buyer is looking for a great deal. They know the market is down and they expect to get an excellent price on their project. Today’s buyer is justifiably more discriminating and knowledgeable of costs. These are good things. We recommend being as knowledgeable as possible about a purchase and investment at this level. Today’s buyer must be cautious and make sure they do their homework on the builder as well. Because of the down market we have seen some interesting and possible dishonorable tactics from builders trying to get an edge.

MC: I’ve had many people think that right now in this market, everything is on sale and pricing should be very aggressive. While there is some truth to that, material has really held constant or gone up, so pricing reflects that as well. I have been able to leverage the downturn with some of my laborers because they are short on work.

Creech Construction Kitchen Remodel

BI: Are you starting to see signs of a turnaround in the market?

DO: Just within the past two weeks we have started to see a slight uptick in interest. We’ve seen some action in the local sales scene as well as a few more inquiries from potential clients. We have seen some negative news recently on the national new home sales front so we will see if that has an impact on this overall fragile market.

MC: I have a lot of estimates out there. The downtown area has remained strong for me. I’m still seeing customers doing a lot of homework, pulling multiple quotes from different remodelers and builders, but I do feel like this market is heading in the right direction.

BI: Anything else you’d like to add?

DO: It is a great time to build for people who have the financial ability right now. You should be able to get a good price on most projects. The market will come back. Sometimes it’s hard to stay positive, but we must remember that markets do cycle, and this industry has had, and will have, some great years. The companies that can make it through the bad times should be set up for positive gains when we get back to a better economy.


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February 8th, 2010

Product Manufacturers Look Ahead to 2010

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Officially wrapping up our 2010 International Builder’s Show coverage, we leave you with the thoughts of some of the industry’s largest product manufacturers and most recognizable brands.  These companies, including Kohler, LP, Masco Bath and Broan-NuTone, all have a positive outlook for 2010, although a cautious one that will continue to be influenced by housing trends.

Is it too early to start thinking about what’s in store for Orlando next year?  At a very minimum, this story should continue to take a different turn…

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February 5th, 2010

Cash for Caulkers: Filling Up the (Business) Case

On November 17, 2009, The New York Times broke the story “A Stimulus That Could Save Money,” introducing the phrase “Cash for Caulkers” to everyday nomenclature; at least in our industry. Three short weeks later, President Obama proposed the new program that would be part of a broader plan to stimulate the economy, create jobs and reimburse homeowners for retrofits with energy-efficient appliances and insulation.

Now, this post won’t get into all of the details and speculation of the program; we would’ve written it a lot sooner if so. Besides, just Google “Cash for Caulkers” and look through the 785,000 search results to see exactly what the bill’s all about.

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Conservationvalue.blogspot.com

We’ve been following the buzz and offer the following recommendations, if you will, to capitalize on the program and the impending future of the building energy performance certification industry.

  1. If you, your colleagues or partners are not already, get certified. There’s no better time than now and the resources are more accessible – and qualified – and ever before. We suggest looking into programs with the Building Performance Institute (BPI), RESnet (Residential Energy Services Network), and Home Performance with ENERGY STAR (a national program from the U.S. EPA and U.S. DOE).
  2. Think globally, act locally. Look at the example from the Builders Association of Minnesota. They partnered with a remodeler and window manufacturer. The “trifecta” employed 600 people that quickly trained and certified contractors and insulation installers to make improvements to 1,400 homes. A Win-Win.
  3. Get your voice heard. A number of organizations, from national to grassroots, are cropping up to best position themselves, their employees and clients to meet the needs of both certified professionals and engaged consumers. We recommend looking into Efficiency First, “a national nonprofit trade association that unites the Home Performance workforce, building product manufacturers and related businesses and organizations in the escalating fight against global warming and rising energy costs.
  4. New product and program development – Although we have to believe Honeywell was planning their Enovate™PRO Contractor Program well in advance of Cash for Caulkers news, they have the right idea. With new products, marketing support and professional development training, the program comes full circle for the professional.

How is your business reacting to the Cash for Caulkers buzz? What expectations do you have for the program?

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January 25th, 2010

2010 International Builders’ Show Coverage

The 2010 International Builders’ Show is behind us.  The most common theme we heard sounded a lot like tepid optimism.  Everyone is looking forward to what’s ahead, but with a cautious approach.  Many of the exhibitors presented an enjoyable atmosphere so that the attendees could feel relaxed and enjoy themselves.  This emotional connection created during hard times should be successful for these brands.

As we collect our thoughts and evaluate our strategies, here is some of the best coverage of IBS from around the Web (not including the large volume of Twitter updates).  We’ve also highlighted some of the sights and sounds that caught our attention.  If you read through this, you’ll find just about every product that was worth mentioning from the Show, as well as the top news stories that were released last week.

Comprehensive Coverage

Builder Magazine

Charles & Hudson

Bob Vila: On the Level

Popular Mechanics

Marvin Windows and Doors Blog

Consumer Reports Home & Garden Blog

WSJ Developments

ECOHOME

Home Construction & Improvement


Charles & Hudson

Charles & Hudson

News

55,000 crowded the aisles

Homebuilders sticking with less-is-more approach

Homebuilding’s biggest CEOs to skip Show

More suffering in housing

Hard times show at builders’ expo

Remodeling activity forecast to pick up

Homebuilders hope to find financing


Photos


Video

Werner Ladder

LP SmartSide

Behr (Behr is an IMRE client)

Did we miss anything?

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January 18th, 2010

The 2010 International Builders’ Show: Live Look from Las Vegas

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By now, if you read this blog you’ve gathered how important The International Builders’ Show is to the residential building industry.  It’s the annual gathering of the greatest minds, brands and hands in the industry.  Here you’ll find the latest in product innovations and construction technology and friends you see only once a year.  And because we’re in Las Vegas, it’s sure to bring the best out of people.

Because you weren’t able to make it, we’ll bring the Show to you.  Enjoy our view this week and follow us for updates, news and witty commentary, providing some insight that will get you prepared for what we expect to be a successful year ahead.

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January 15th, 2010

Weekly Intel: 2010 International Builders’ Show Primer

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The countdown to the 2010 International Builders’ Show (IBS) has begun.  Okay, it actually started a few months ago - now it’s crunch time.  All final preparations are being made and the assembly of the booths will begin this weekend.

ibs-floor

As you get ready for the Show, here’s a list of things you can expect next week:

Also check out Builder Magazine’s 10 Things to Do at IBS article.  Even if you’re not attending, you can experience everything the Show has to offer thanks to social marketing.

More from us next week, including live updates, images and video.  Follow us from the Show on Twitter - @BuildIntel.

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January 13th, 2010

Making the Most of the International Builders’ Show

IBS10-logo-cmykAn interesting conversation began a few days ago among a few home building industry veterans about how many International Builders’ Shows (IBS) we have attended. The answers ranged from a high of twenty to a mere seven shows. For me, I am attending my 18th IBS next week, January 18-22, in Las Vegas. As a result of attending all these shows, I have learned a few things to share with you to help you make the most of IBS.

A survey of exhibitors and attendees found they both generally remember three things 30 days after the Show. They remember one must-have product, one outstanding person, and one experience off the Show floor. Generally, these three things are readily shared when asked, “How was the Show?” Your goal is to be one if not all three of these memories.

As an exhibitor you need to train your sales people to treat your exhibit like a retail store in which they are inviting and engaging to all the people taking the time to visit them. Resist standing at the edge of your exhibit with your arms crossed in front of you. It looks like you are guarding your space instead of welcoming guests. Keep your people fresh and well fed (outside of the exhibit) so they can share a high level of energy with the customers and prospects. Attendees prefer to be with people that are excited to share with them.

Do not forget to give your show staff the proper information they need to answer the questions the attendees want to know. Benefits, advantages of your products and services, programs, and pricing are all things a good attendee will look to learn. Have this information top of mind or at arms length. A professional, well-prepared sales team will be memorable all by itself.

Experienced show attendees will layout a plan to attack this big show. They will start by locating their current suppliers to learn what is new and connect with the business leaders. Next, the attendees will visit the competitors to their suppliers to learn what they offer that their current suppliers don’t. Finally, with the time remaining, the attendees will ‘walk the floor’ looking for the next innovation or cool product.

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With the experience shared above, exhibitors should be prepared to be great hosts to their existing customers, have a good understanding of their competition at the Show, and be prepared to be memorable for all the right reasons. At the same time, attendees should plan ahead to make the most of their time at the Show and take stock of the next big innovation to take home.

IBS is an outstanding event that will catapult your plans for 2010. I hope you will enjoy the experience and create some strong memories of your own.

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January 7th, 2010

Classic Home Aesthetics Return

What was once old is new again

It seems like every year we see classic home aesthetics make a comeback, often with a twist.  Manufactures are finding new ways to improve upon older features for a number of reasons, one of which is to appeal to our aging population. And of course, retro always has its place, no matter what age bracket you’re in.

A recent article from Builder Magazine profiles the 55+ age demographic and discusses the active adult and motivations for purchasing, among other related topics.

Because of the business we’re in, we keep our eye on new product developments and trends.  Based on everything we’ve seen and heard, here are three home features that are primed to make a comeback in 2010, regionally appropriate, and they’ve been updated to reflect the current built environment:

Exterior Basement Doors

Popularized by Auntie Em, Uncle Henry and that pesky tornado in The Wizard Oz, storm doors reached popularity as shelter in the Midwest. New models, like the Ultra Series from Bilco (who have been making these things for 75 years), are made of high-density polyurethane and are weather resistant.









Cedar Shakes

Mixing the look of cedar with traditional vinyl exteriors is one way to achieve a 1950’s feel while giving an expensive “wow” factor. In a recent article from eBuild, Drew Brandt, director of marketing for CertainTeed’s new product development, says his company has offered polymer shanks and shingles for 15-20 years, but their popularity has soared during the past couple years.

Cedar Impressions Naturals, seen here, is the low maintenance, polymer look-alike to cedar, “emphasizing rugged textures, deep shadows and subtle color variations.”

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Ceiling Beams

A classic look from medieval times that homeowners are using to break up the plain white ceiling is wood or faux wood box beams.  Companies like Fauxwoodbeams.com use reclaimed wood to give rustic character to any room in the house. An easy way to spruce up that great room or kitchen (or at least easy for us to say).

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What other products do you expect to see more of in 2010?

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December 10th, 2009

View From the Top: Performance of the Top National Homebuilders

Back in October, we took a look at marketing initiatives that the top five national home builders are employing to improve their bottom line.  Through this mini audit we saw a large social media presence, increased green features and creative partnerships, to name a few.

Since that time, we’ve seen Toll Brothers take over the title of largest volume builder, the Pulte-Centex “combination” and the emergence of new players to the big show, including NVR and MDC Holdings.

Home builders were also thrown the proverbial bone, with the extension of the first-time homebuyer tax credit, which was to expire in November but saw an eleventh hour extension and add on of $6,500 credit as incentive to existing homeowners.

In this installment, we’re going to take a quick look at the financial performance of the nation’s top builders entering the new decade.

Toll Brothers



According to analysis on Investopdia, “The company’s loss of 68 cents a share (in fiscal fourth quarter) was a result of continued asset write-downs, namely land holdings. Sales for the quarter were down 30% from $691 million to $486 million. Analysts had expected write-downs to lead to a loss of 46 cents a share based on revenue projections of $450 million.”

On the flip side, Toll enjoyed a 42 percent jump in new sales. In a recent article from Bloomberg, Toll attributes the healthy sales bump to selling properties in fewer communities, building up cash reserves and writing down the value of inventory to improve liquidity.


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Fourth-quarter revenue slumped 44 percent to $1 billion. The builder’s net loss for the three months ended Sept. 30 narrowed to $231.9 million, or 73 cents a share.

However, as reported Monday, “compensation for D.R. Horton Chairman Donald R. Horton and Chief Executive Officer Donald J. Tomnitz climbed by 56 percent in fiscal 2009, a year when the second-largest U.S. homebuilder reported a net loss of $545.3 million.”  Hmmm…

 

AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez

AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez


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Learning Markets reports, “Pulte Homes Inc. (PHM) delivered its earnings announcement on 11/04. The company reported a change in quarter-over-quarter sales of -29.98% and posted an EPS (trailing twelve months) of -5.25.”

“Since the PHM announcement (about 30 days ago), the stock has posted a -1.73% gain (loss). Over that same period, the stock’s industry, Residential Construction, saw a -2.44% gain (loss).”

There have been major changes in the industries landscape to affect standing and sales.  It’s going to be exciting to see how the tax credit continues to affect sales, which builders consolidate further and overall, who wins the battle of the first quarter.

So are you buying or selling?


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November 25th, 2009

Giving Thanks

It’s been a rough year for those involved in the housing market.  Homes have been foreclosed, jobs lost and builders have gone bankrupt.  But with Thanksgiving tomorrow and 2010 around the corner there is reason for optimism.  Here is a short list of things those in the industry can be thankful for…

The Federal Government

At the top of the list, the government is trying desperately to bail out the industry and our country.  Tax credits, the stimulus, you name it.  President Obama and Congress are doing whatever it takes to get America out of the recession and stimulate the economy.  However, they are treading carefully as there has been recent talk of a “double dip recession.”  Of course, there are many who believe there’s more they could be doing or they simply don’t agree with the current actions in place.

Home Buyer Tax Credit

Courtesy of Uncle Sam, the home buyer tax credit was aimed to stimulate the market and entice consumers to purchase a home.  Buyers who have owned their current homes for at least five years are eligible for tax credits of up to $6,500, while first-time homebuyers would still get up to $8,000.  Just this month, the tax credit was extended.  Said NAHB Chairman Joe Robson, “we commend lawmakers for acting in a bipartisan manner to extend the first-time home buyer tax credit and expand it to a wider group of home buyers.  The tax credit has proven to be a powerful economic incentive.  Today’s action by Congress will further stabilize housing and the economy by creating new jobs, stimulating home sales, reducing foreclosures, cutting excess inventories and stabilizing home prices.”

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National Association of Home Builders

Wall Street

Wall Street has recovered far quicker than anyone has imagined.  Just take a look at your 401K or other investments you may have.  Just this week, stocks “posted fresh 2009 highs for a second day despite a disappointing fourth-quarter earnings view from Home Depot and weaker-than-expected US industrial production numbers,” said the National Business Review.  According to the AP, “the modest drop came a day after major stock indicators closed at 13-month highs, including the Dow Jones industrial average, which has risen nine of the past 10 days.”  Wall Street continues to make a nice rebound.

Green Building

Despite the constant abuse, green is now mainstream in the industry.  We’re already redefining the definition of green building (see sustainable).  This deserves its own post, but we can’t overlook the immediate impact green building has had, and will continue to, on the industry -  new jobs and a healthier place to live and work, not too mention a boost to the bottom line, contributing $554 billion to the U.S. GDP, in the next four years.

Green Cities Media

Green Cities Media

Housing Inventory

A debatable topic, housing inventory nationwide continues to dwindle, which some see as a positive sign.  According to the AP, “at September’s sales pace, it would take about 7.5 months to sell off all the new homes on the market.  That’s down from a peak of 11 months last fall.”  However, it’s still far from being a “healthy market.”

So as those in the industry surround themselves with family and friends this week, we hope they remain optimistic and realize there is light at the end of the tunnel.  There is a lot to thankful for.


turkey-headPlease note, the Build Intel Baltimore bureau is closed for the Holiday.  That means that there won’t be any new posts until Monday.  Enjoy your Thanksgiving and be kind to your belly.

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